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ADR-0001 — Candidate group list and the identifiability target

ADR-0001 — Candidate group list and the identifiability target

Decision

Candidate list (frozen for Phases 0–2):

Group Growth vector Q Corank Abnormal minimizers Ground truth available
Heisenberg H³ (2,3) 4 1 none closed form (this repo, src/heisenberg.py)
SE(2) (2,3) 4 1 none Sachkov 2010 (closed / elliptic)
Engel (2,3,4) 7 2 yes Ardentov–Sachkov 2017
Cartan (2,3,5) 10 3 yes Ardentov–Hakavuori 2022
SE(3) (added Phase 3) — ≥2 yes Duits et al. 2013 (elliptic-integral)

Rationale: these are exactly the groups whose SR geodesics and conjugate loci are known in closed or near-closed form, so the forward model is leakage-free ground truth and the inverse can be graded, not asserted. The list deliberately includes a pair sharing a tangent cone (Heisenberg vs. SE(2), both (2,3)) — the hardest discrimination and the sharpest test of the moduli component (METHODS §4).

Identifiability target (the definition of success):

  1. Class recovery (necessary). From noisy caustic samples, recover the growth vector with accuracy rising monotonically in sample size and degrading gracefully in noise — beating a majority-class baseline at realistic noise (metric M1). Failure here kills the tangent-cone leg (hypothesis H1).
  2. Group discrimination (headline). A confusion matrix over the candidate list with off-diagonal mass significantly below chance, and the abnormal bit cleanly splitting {contact 3D} from {Engel, Cartan} (metrics M2, M5; H2).
  3. Honest aliasing map (guaranteed deliverable). For each pair, the minimal observable subset that separates it, or “none in kit” — expected to flag Heisenberg/SE(2) and any projectively-equivalent pairs (metric M6; H3).

The estimator targets the triple (growth vector, conjugate-locus symmetry+moduli, abnormal bit), never a single ADE germ (METHODS §2). The quantitative statistic is the nilpotent deviation δ (METHODS §6), not raw cusp classification.

Consequences

Alternatives considered